Genoa vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 1
GEN
79%
14%
6%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
GEN
0 - 2
CAT
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CAG
2 - 1
GEN
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
GEN
2 - 0
BOL
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
INT
1 - 1
GEN
78%
15%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
LAZ
2 - 1
JUV
32%
27%
41%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
LAZ
0 - 1
CHI
66%
21%
14%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 1
LAZ
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 2
LAZ
37%
25%
38%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
LAZ
2 - 0
ATL
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |