Genoa vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 3
GEN
42%
28%
31%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SAM
1 - 0
GEN
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
GEN
1 - 1
LIV
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
SIE
0 - 0
GEN
33%
28%
40%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
GEN
2 - 2
PAL
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
LAZ
1 - 2
ROM
20%
23%
58%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
BOL
2 - 3
LAZ
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
LAZ
1 - 1
NAP
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ACM
1 - 1
LAZ
70%
19%
12%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
LAZ
2 - 0
SIE
58%
24%
19%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |