Genoa vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1992 |
GEN
2 - 0
LIV
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
JUV
3 - 0
GEN
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1992 |
GEN
1 - 2
PAR
60%
25%
16%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
GEN
0 - 0
ACM
25%
28%
47%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
GEN
1 - 1
ROM
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ROM
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
INT
1 - 0
LAZ
72%
19%
9%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ASC
69%
20%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
ATL
1 - 0
LAZ
49%
29%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
LAZ
2 - 1
TOR
44%
28%
28%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |