Genoa vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
PRG
1 - 1
GEN
43%
32%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
USC
2 - 0
GEN
53%
27%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
GEN
0 - 0
PES
59%
25%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
GEN
1 - 0
ASC
45%
28%
26%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
CES
0 - 0
GEN
52%
28%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
LAZ
0 - 1
ASS
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
LAZ
1 - 1
CES
56%
26%
17%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
ASC
3 - 2
LAZ
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
LAZ
1 - 0
CAT
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
CAG
2 - 0
LAZ
42%
33%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |