Genoa vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
30.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
ACM
2 - 2
GEN
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
BOL
0 - 0
GEN
76%
17%
8%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
GEN
1 - 1
FIO
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
INT
1 - 0
GEN
72%
19%
9%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
GEN
1 - 1
SAM
58%
24%
17%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
LAZ
0 - 0
USF
74%
18%
8%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
INT
1 - 1
LAZ
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
LAZ
1 - 0
ROM
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
NAP
1 - 1
LAZ
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
LAZ
1 - 0
PRG
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |