Genoa vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
20.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
PAD
1 - 1
GEN
41%
30%
29%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
GEN
1 - 0
LIV
54%
28%
19%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
BRE
1 - 1
GEN
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
GEN
0 - 0
BAR
46%
29%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
REG
1 - 0
GEN
49%
28%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
LAZ
2 - 0
FCC
62%
25%
14%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
REG
1 - 0
LAZ
50%
30%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ASS
58%
25%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
LEC
1 - 2
LAZ
48%
30%
23%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
LAZ
2 - 1
MOD
64%
23%
13%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |