Genoa vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1964 |
GEN
3 - 1
JUV
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
GEN
0 - 2
INT
22%
25%
53%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
MES
1 - 0
GEN
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
BAR
1 - 2
GEN
45%
28%
28%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
GEN
1 - 0
SPA
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
VIG
0 - 3
LAZ
41%
24%
35%
|
72 | 7 | 65 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
BOL
1 - 0
LAZ
82%
12%
6%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
LAZ
0 - 0
SAM
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
LAZ
0 - 0
INT
18%
25%
58%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
ATL
1 - 1
LAZ
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |