Genoa vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1958 |
TOR
4 - 2
GEN
64%
20%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
GEN
0 - 0
INT
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
VER
1 - 3
GEN
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
GEN
1 - 0
UDI
42%
24%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
ATL
1 - 1
GEN
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1958 |
LAZ
1 - 1
SPA
68%
18%
13%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
UDI
1 - 0
LAZ
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
TOR
1 - 1
LAZ
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
LAZ
2 - 2
SAM
57%
21%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
ACM
6 - 1
LAZ
74%
15%
11%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |