Genoa vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1942 |
ACL
3 - 4
GEN
38%
24%
38%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
GEN
4 - 3
TOR
58%
22%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
TRI
2 - 1
GEN
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
GEN
1 - 0
VNZ
57%
21%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
ATL
0 - 0
GEN
37%
23%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1942 |
LAZ
2 - 1
JUV
51%
22%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
BOL
2 - 2
LAZ
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
LAZ
1 - 0
NAP
70%
16%
13%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
MOD
1 - 0
LAZ
36%
23%
41%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
LAZ
3 - 0
LIV
65%
18%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |