Genoa vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
USA
1 - 0
GEN
56%
21%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1936 |
GEN
2 - 0
PAL
62%
20%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1936 |
ACM
1 - 0
GEN
55%
21%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1936 |
GEN
2 - 0
BRE
66%
19%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1936 |
JUV
4 - 0
GEN
77%
14%
9%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
ACM
5 - 0
LAZ
47%
23%
31%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1936 |
LAZ
3 - 0
BRE
72%
16%
12%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1936 |
SAM
2 - 2
LAZ
39%
23%
38%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1936 |
LAZ
3 - 0
PAL
67%
18%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1936 |
ROM
1 - 0
LAZ
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |