Genoa vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
23.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1929 |
LEO
3 - 3
GEN
35%
21%
44%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
VNZ
1 - 3
GEN
47%
21%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 1929 |
BRE
0 - 5
GEN
48%
22%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1929 |
GEN
0 - 3
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1929 |
GEN
0 - 1
LAZ
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1929 |
LAZ
3 - 0
BOL
49%
23%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
LAZ
0 - 0
NAP
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1929 |
JUV
1 - 0
LAZ
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1929 |
LAZ
0 - 4
REG
69%
16%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1929 |
GEN
0 - 1
LAZ
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |