Genoa vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1964 |
GEN
0 - 2
INT
22%
25%
53%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
MES
1 - 0
GEN
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
BAR
1 - 2
GEN
45%
28%
28%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
GEN
1 - 0
SPA
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
VIC
1 - 0
GEN
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1964 |
JUV
4 - 2
CAT
73%
16%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
JUV
0 - 0
BOL
55%
23%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
INT
1 - 0
JUV
60%
21%
20%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
JUV
4 - 1
VIC
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
MES
1 - 0
JUV
21%
24%
55%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |