Genoa vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
ACM
3 - 2
GEN
84%
10%
6%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
GEN
3 - 0
PRO
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
SAM
0 - 0
GEN
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
GEN
0 - 0
PAD
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
ATL
2 - 2
GEN
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
ATL
1 - 1
JUV
43%
23%
34%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1956 |
JUV
0 - 0
ROM
69%
18%
14%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1956 |
NOV
0 - 0
JUV
35%
24%
42%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1956 |
JUV
2 - 2
SAM
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
JUV
0 - 2
TOR
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |