Genoa vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
57.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
ROM
4 - 0
GEN
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
MES
1 - 1
GEN
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
SIR
1 - 1
GEN
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
GEN
1 - 0
FAN
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
ASS
0 - 1
GEN
48%
24%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
JUV
3 - 1
TRI
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
JUV
1 - 1
NAP
81%
12%
8%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
LAZ
0 - 1
JUV
32%
24%
45%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
JUV
2 - 1
INT
65%
18%
17%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
ROM
3 - 0
JUV
25%
23%
52%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |