Genoa vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
ACL
1 - 0
GEN
49%
23%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1939 |
GEN
2 - 0
ACM
67%
19%
15%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
NOV
0 - 0
GEN
33%
22%
44%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
GEN
2 - 1
LAZ
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
BOL
3 - 0
GEN
62%
21%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
JUV
0 - 0
INT
52%
24%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1939 |
NAP
4 - 1
JUV
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
JUV
0 - 0
ROM
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
MOD
2 - 0
JUV
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
JUV
1 - 1
ASL
85%
10%
5%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |