Genoa vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
BRE
3 - 1
GEN
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
GEN
2 - 0
LIV
62%
18%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
BOL
3 - 0
GEN
69%
17%
13%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1934 |
GEN
1 - 2
LAZ
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1934 |
GEN
1 - 0
USA
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
JUV
0 - 0
INT
73%
16%
12%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
FIO
2 - 2
JUV
35%
27%
38%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
JUV
2 - 0
NAP
77%
14%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1934 |
TRI
0 - 1
JUV
32%
27%
41%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1934 |
JUV
1 - 1
PAL
92%
6%
3%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |