Genoa vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1930 |
MOD
4 - 2
GEN
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1930 |
GEN
1 - 0
LEO
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1930 |
GEN
5 - 1
USA
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1930 |
LIV
1 - 2
GEN
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1930 |
GEN
4 - 2
NAP
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1930 |
JUV
3 - 2
ROM
66%
18%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1930 |
LAZ
2 - 1
JUV
33%
26%
42%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1930 |
LEO
1 - 3
JUV
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1930 |
JUV
2 - 0
CAS
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1930 |
ACM
0 - 3
JUV
43%
24%
33%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |