Genoa vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
50.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
BRE
1 - 1
GEN
54%
28%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1976 |
VER
1 - 0
GEN
76%
15%
9%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
GEN
1 - 1
NOV
68%
21%
11%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1976 |
GEN
1 - 1
VER
54%
22%
24%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
PES
0 - 2
GEN
46%
30%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
INT
3 - 1
VER
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1976 |
LAZ
1 - 0
INT
47%
26%
28%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1976 |
INT
1 - 0
GEN
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
BOL
1 - 2
INT
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
INT
2 - 0
ROM
62%
23%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |