Genoa vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
VER
1 - 3
GEN
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
GEN
1 - 0
UDI
42%
24%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
ATL
1 - 1
GEN
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
GEN
1 - 0
VIC
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
USA
3 - 1
GEN
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
INT
1 - 0
VIC
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
INT
0 - 1
FIO
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
UDI
1 - 1
INT
50%
23%
28%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
INT
2 - 2
SAM
58%
21%
22%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
VER
2 - 4
INT
39%
25%
37%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |