Genoa vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
20.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
BAR
0 - 0
GEN
25%
22%
53%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
LAZ
1 - 1
GEN
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
GEN
1 - 0
ATL
79%
13%
9%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
ACL
1 - 2
GEN
30%
23%
47%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
GEN
3 - 3
TOR
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
INT
3 - 1
JUV
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
INT
1 - 0
TRI
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
INT
0 - 0
BAR
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
BOL
3 - 1
INT
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
INT
4 - 1
LAZ
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |