Genoa vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
29.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
PES
1 - 0
GEN
60%
24%
17%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
TAR
3 - 0
GEN
40%
33%
27%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
GEN
2 - 0
PAL
61%
25%
15%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
BRI
1 - 2
GEN
44%
29%
27%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
SPA
1 - 2
GEN
54%
28%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
VER
2 - 0
ARZ
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
PAL
1 - 2
VER
37%
31%
31%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
VER
5 - 2
NOV
64%
23%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
AVE
1 - 2
VER
33%
30%
37%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
VER
0 - 0
BRI
73%
19%
8%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |