Genoa vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
46.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1965 |
GEN
0 - 0
ACM
18%
24%
58%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
CAG
2 - 1
GEN
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
GEN
3 - 1
VIC
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
GEN
0 - 1
VAR
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
ATL
0 - 2
GEN
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1965 |
FIO
2 - 0
MAN
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
FIO
5 - 0
CAT
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
MES
0 - 3
FIO
23%
26%
51%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
INT
6 - 2
FIO
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
FIO
4 - 1
VIC
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |