Genoa vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
TRI
2 - 1
GEN
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
GEN
1 - 1
SAM
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
PAD
2 - 0
GEN
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
GEN
2 - 2
PAL
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
UDI
5 - 1
GEN
66%
19%
16%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
FIO
2 - 2
ROM
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
ACM
2 - 0
FIO
71%
16%
13%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
BOL
2 - 2
FIO
51%
23%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
FIO
3 - 0
SAM
59%
22%
20%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1957 |
GCZ
2 - 2
FIO
50%
22%
28%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |