Genoa vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
COM
3 - 2
GEN
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
GEN
0 - 2
ATL
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
UDI
1 - 0
GEN
49%
22%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
GEN
2 - 1
ASL
58%
21%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1950 |
TRI
3 - 0
GEN
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
FIO
3 - 1
ASL
67%
18%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
COM
1 - 0
FIO
45%
22%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
FIO
3 - 3
TOR
33%
22%
45%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
NAP
3 - 2
FIO
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1950 |
PRO
3 - 0
FIO
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |