Genoa vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
17.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1948 |
TRI
1 - 0
GEN
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
TOR
2 - 1
GEN
88%
8%
4%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
GEN
1 - 1
ATL
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
GEN
2 - 4
ROM
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
BAR
0 - 2
GEN
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1948 |
FIO
4 - 1
LAZ
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
FIO
2 - 0
ATL
63%
19%
17%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
JUV
3 - 0
FIO
82%
12%
7%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
FIO
1 - 0
INT
41%
24%
35%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
TOR
5 - 0
FIO
90%
7%
3%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |