Genoa vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1947 |
NAP
2 - 1
GEN
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
GEN
2 - 3
TOR
32%
23%
45%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
USA
2 - 2
GEN
36%
24%
40%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
GEN
3 - 0
ROM
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
ACM
4 - 1
GEN
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1947 |
FIO
0 - 3
ACM
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
FIO
1 - 0
NAP
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
ROM
2 - 0
FIO
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
TOR
7 - 2
FIO
82%
11%
7%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
FIO
4 - 1
LAZ
62%
19%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |