Genoa vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
BOL
0 - 0
GEN
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
GEN
1 - 1
PAD
71%
15%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
CAS
2 - 3
GEN
31%
23%
46%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1933 |
GEN
1 - 1
PRO
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1933 |
TRI
2 - 1
GEN
29%
24%
47%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
FIO
0 - 1
TRI
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
INT
3 - 1
FIO
75%
13%
12%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
FIO
1 - 0
BAR
80%
12%
7%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1933 |
USA
0 - 3
FIO
38%
22%
40%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1933 |
FIO
0 - 1
TOR
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |