Genoa vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
3.6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1999 |
ATL
1 - 0
GEN
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1999 |
GEN
3 - 1
EMP
52%
25%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
PIS
2 - 1
GEN
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
GEN
1 - 1
ASS
65%
20%
14%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
ALZ
3 - 1
GEN
21%
24%
55%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
FER
0 - 1
ASS
20%
25%
55%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
SAL
3 - 1
FER
82%
13%
5%
|
43 | 75 | 32 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
FER
0 - 1
ALZ
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
CES
1 - 0
FER
80%
15%
6%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
FER
1 - 2
VIC
9%
23%
69%
|
44 | 80 | 36 | 0 |