Genoa vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2001 |
CTT
1 - 1
GEN
36%
27%
38%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
GEN
1 - 1
PIA
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
GEN
0 - 0
PIS
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
TOR
1 - 1
GEN
63%
21%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
GEN
3 - 1
ANC
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2001 |
CRO
0 - 1
SAL
46%
25%
30%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
SIE
1 - 1
CRO
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
CRO
2 - 2
CTT
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2001 |
EMP
4 - 2
CRO
61%
22%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
CRO
0 - 1
TOR
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |