Genoa vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
13.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
REG
0 - 1
GEN
43%
31%
26%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
GEN
2 - 3
SSS
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
GEN
1 - 1
PRG
55%
27%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
PAR
2 - 1
GEN
51%
29%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
GEN
1 - 1
USA
69%
21%
10%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
FCC
0 - 0
BRI
62%
25%
12%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
PAR
0 - 0
FCC
54%
27%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
FCC
2 - 1
SPA
56%
28%
16%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
TAR
0 - 0
FCC
44%
31%
25%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
FCC
0 - 0
SSS
56%
27%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |