Genoa vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
16.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
ASC
1 - 0
GEN
53%
26%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
GEN
3 - 0
MAN
65%
24%
11%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
NOV
1 - 2
GEN
51%
29%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
BRE
1 - 1
GEN
48%
31%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
GEN
2 - 1
REG
68%
22%
10%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
COM
1 - 0
BAR
60%
26%
14%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
BRE
2 - 0
COM
48%
30%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
COM
0 - 0
REG
67%
22%
11%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
TAR
0 - 0
COM
40%
32%
28%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
ASS
1 - 0
COM
37%
33%
31%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |