Genoa vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
ACM
2 - 0
GEN
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
GEN
2 - 1
ATL
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
LAZ
1 - 2
GEN
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
GEN
1 - 0
PAR
40%
27%
34%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
EMP
1 - 1
GEN
59%
23%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
CAT
2 - 1
UDI
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAR
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
UDI
3 - 2
CAT
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
ROM
2 - 0
CAT
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
CAT
1 - 1
ACM
17%
24%
58%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | +1 |