Genoa vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
17.5%
6.8%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
REG
1 - 0
GEN
44%
29%
27%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
BRI
1 - 1
GEN
32%
32%
36%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
GEN
1 - 3
VAR
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1976 |
SPA
1 - 1
GEN
48%
29%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
GEN
2 - 2
PIA
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
CAT
4 - 1
MOD
51%
29%
20%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAT
61%
27%
12%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
CAT
0 - 0
USF
42%
32%
27%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1976 |
BRI
0 - 0
CAT
51%
29%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
CAT
0 - 0
FCC
39%
33%
28%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |