Genoa vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
15%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
22.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1972 |
GEN
0 - 0
BAR
47%
31%
22%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
MOD
1 - 1
GEN
44%
31%
25%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
USF
2 - 1
GEN
65%
23%
12%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
GEN
3 - 1
REG
56%
27%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
GEN
1 - 3
ARZ
51%
29%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1972 |
CAT
2 - 0
PRG
47%
31%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
LIV
1 - 0
CAT
28%
36%
36%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
CAT
1 - 2
LAZ
40%
32%
28%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
CAT
3 - 0
MOD
60%
27%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
NOV
1 - 2
CAT
55%
27%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |