Genoa vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
23.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
CES
0 - 1
GEN
59%
23%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
GEN
2 - 2
LEC
54%
28%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
MOD
0 - 0
GEN
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
GEN
1 - 0
PRG
54%
26%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
LAZ
4 - 1
GEN
45%
30%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
CAT
0 - 0
TER
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
CAT
1 - 1
MAN
47%
29%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
SPA
0 - 1
CAT
63%
23%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
CAT
0 - 0
USF
43%
30%
27%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
PRG
0 - 0
CAT
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |