Genoa vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
BOL
1 - 1
GEN
72%
16%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1963 |
BRE
2 - 3
GEN
50%
24%
27%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
GEN
1 - 0
BOL
38%
25%
38%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
SPA
4 - 0
GEN
53%
24%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
GEN
2 - 0
VIC
54%
24%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
ATL
3 - 0
CAT
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1963 |
USF
2 - 1
CAT
40%
22%
38%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
CAT
0 - 1
FIO
24%
26%
50%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
CAT
1 - 0
ACM
17%
23%
59%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
ATL
0 - 0
CAT
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |