Genoa vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
TOR
2 - 0
GEN
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
SAM
3 - 1
GEN
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
GEN
3 - 2
NAP
60%
22%
19%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
VNZ
0 - 0
GEN
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
GEN
1 - 1
MOD
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
VNZ
2 - 1
CAT
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAL
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
ROM
5 - 1
CAT
74%
15%
11%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
INT
2 - 1
CAT
77%
14%
9%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
CAT
0 - 0
SPA
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |