Genoa vs Castel Sangro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
CHI
1 - 1
GEN
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
PES
1 - 3
GEN
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
GEN
3 - 0
VNZ
68%
20%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
SAL
1 - 1
GEN
33%
29%
39%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
GEN
1 - 2
REG
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
CAS
1 - 0
REG
39%
29%
33%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
BRE
3 - 1
CAS
75%
17%
8%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
CAS
1 - 0
CES
38%
29%
33%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
PAD
1 - 1
CAS
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1997 |
CAS
0 - 2
EMP
41%
30%
30%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |