Genoa vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
PRO
3 - 4
GEN
32%
24%
44%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1932 |
GEN
4 - 0
TRI
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1932 |
GEN
2 - 1
LEO
63%
20%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1932 |
PRO
2 - 0
GEN
31%
24%
45%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1932 |
GEN
1 - 1
ROM
50%
21%
29%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
CAS
2 - 2
INT
17%
21%
62%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1932 |
ROM
2 - 0
CAS
83%
10%
7%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1932 |
ACM
4 - 2
CAS
80%
12%
8%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1932 |
BOL
4 - 2
CAS
82%
11%
7%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1932 |
CAS
0 - 1
TRI
53%
21%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |