Genoa vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
FER
0 - 1
GEN
14%
24%
63%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
GEN
3 - 0
RAV
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
PIZ
3 - 3
GEN
21%
26%
53%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
GEN
0 - 0
TER
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
CTT
1 - 1
GEN
25%
27%
48%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
PAD
1 - 0
SAN
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
GIU
1 - 0
PAD
31%
29%
41%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
PAD
2 - 0
PRO
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
PAD
1 - 0
SSS
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
SPE
1 - 0
PAD
46%
28%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |