Genoa vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
GEN
1 - 1
ANC
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1989 |
REG
0 - 0
GEN
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
GEN
1 - 0
COS
60%
23%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
SSB
2 - 2
GEN
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
GEN
2 - 0
UDI
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
PAD
1 - 0
PAR
55%
27%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1989 |
PAD
1 - 0
FCC
54%
27%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
SSS
1 - 1
PAD
41%
34%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
PAD
1 - 1
REG
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
BAR
0 - 0
PAD
60%
25%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |