Genoa vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1982 |
NAP
2 - 2
GEN
67%
23%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
GEN
2 - 0
FCC
43%
29%
28%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
GEN
1 - 0
BOL
43%
30%
28%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
CAG
2 - 1
GEN
66%
22%
13%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
GEN
1 - 2
ACM
41%
28%
30%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1969 |
BRE
4 - 0
PAD
71%
20%
9%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
COM
3 - 0
PAD
58%
25%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
PAD
2 - 0
MOD
45%
30%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
PAD
1 - 1
MAN
38%
32%
30%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
FCC
0 - 1
PAD
53%
28%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |