Genoa vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.2%
13.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
CAS
2 - 3
GEN
31%
23%
46%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1933 |
GEN
1 - 1
PRO
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1933 |
TRI
2 - 1
GEN
29%
24%
47%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1933 |
GEN
2 - 3
USA
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1933 |
JUV
4 - 1
GEN
75%
15%
11%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
ACM
6 - 2
PAD
70%
16%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1933 |
PAD
1 - 1
JUV
26%
23%
51%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1933 |
BOL
1 - 0
PAD
85%
10%
6%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1933 |
TOR
4 - 2
PAD
69%
16%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1933 |
PAD
2 - 1
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |