Genoa vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9%
5.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1929 |
TRI
0 - 2
GEN
28%
22%
51%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1929 |
GEN
2 - 1
USA
79%
12%
9%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1929 |
USC
1 - 2
GEN
28%
22%
51%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1929 |
MOD
2 - 1
GEN
22%
20%
58%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1929 |
GEN
1 - 0
TOR
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1929 |
PAD
2 - 3
BOL
14%
17%
69%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1929 |
INT
6 - 1
PAD
84%
10%
6%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1929 |
PAD
3 - 1
LIV
48%
22%
30%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1929 |
PRO
0 - 0
PAD
62%
19%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1929 |
PAD
1 - 3
USA
50%
22%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |