Genoa vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.7%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
19.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
CAT
1 - 2
GEN
45%
32%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
ASS
1 - 1
GEN
37%
35%
28%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1973 |
GEN
1 - 0
BAR
68%
22%
10%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
GEN
0 - 1
BRI
72%
19%
9%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
FCC
1 - 0
GEN
47%
31%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
LEC
0 - 0
REG
49%
29%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
COM
1 - 1
LEC
69%
22%
10%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1973 |
LEC
0 - 0
VAR
33%
33%
34%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
MAN
1 - 1
LEC
64%
24%
11%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
LEC
3 - 1
PRG
37%
32%
31%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +2 |