Genoa vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
18.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
MOD
0 - 0
GEN
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
GEN
1 - 0
PRG
54%
26%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
LAZ
4 - 1
GEN
45%
30%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
GEN
2 - 0
PAD
54%
28%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
GEN
1 - 3
JUV
27%
29%
44%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
LEC
1 - 2
LIV
55%
26%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
LEC
1 - 1
TER
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
BRE
2 - 0
LEC
66%
22%
12%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
LEC
3 - 1
MOD
57%
26%
18%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
COM
2 - 0
LEC
58%
22%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |