Genoa vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
TOR
2 - 1
GEN
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
ATL
4 - 0
GEN
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
GEN
0 - 1
CHI
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
ANC
4 - 3
GEN
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
GEN
1 - 1
ASL
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
CAG
1 - 1
USF
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
PIA
2 - 1
CAG
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
VER
2 - 1
CAG
23%
25%
52%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
CAG
1 - 1
CSA
81%
14%
6%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
PES
0 - 1
CAG
23%
24%
53%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |