Genoa vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
FER
2 - 1
GEN
19%
24%
56%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
GEN
2 - 1
ATL
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
EMP
0 - 0
GEN
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
GEN
2 - 1
PIS
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2000 |
ASS
2 - 1
GEN
26%
28%
46%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 1
CES
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2000 |
VIC
2 - 1
BRE
58%
22%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
CHI
2 - 2
BRE
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2000 |
BRE
2 - 1
RAV
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
ATL
1 - 1
BRE
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |