Genoa vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
PES
1 - 0
GEN
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
GEN
3 - 0
COS
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
CES
3 - 1
GEN
35%
28%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
ASL
2 - 0
GEN
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
GEN
3 - 1
CHI
69%
20%
12%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
BRE
0 - 1
USF
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
PAL
2 - 0
BRE
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
BRE
1 - 0
BOL
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
VNZ
3 - 0
BRE
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
BRE
2 - 0
AVE
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |