Genoa vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
PAL
1 - 0
GEN
49%
30%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
GEN
2 - 1
TAR
71%
20%
10%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
NOC
1 - 0
GEN
35%
30%
35%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
GEN
0 - 1
SAM
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
UDI
2 - 0
GEN
52%
28%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
BRE
0 - 0
SSS
64%
23%
13%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
BRE
2 - 1
SAM
51%
28%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
UDI
1 - 1
BRE
61%
25%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
BRE
2 - 1
RIM
67%
23%
11%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
TER
0 - 0
BRE
53%
28%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |